Play of the day …

What I’d like to do here is play one race a day that I feel I have found a solid horse that figures to run well. No parameters regarding track, odds, surface, class, etc. I’ll keep a rolling bankroll for all to see how I fare. The play will be to win. We will start the bankroll at $1000 and see how fast I can drive myself broke. I won’t just throw out picks, I’ll try to break the race down best I can and the following day will tally up the results and go back and review the previous days play. Maybe we will all learn something and I would enjoy some feedback on my picks and your thoughts on that race.

 So our first play of the day managed to cross under the wire first, getting us $150 dollars in the right direction.

So our record is as follows:

Races played = 1

Wins = 1

ITM Finishes = 1

Previous play investment = $50

Previous play return = $200

 Starting Bankroll = $1000

Bankroll as of previous play = $1000

New Bankroll = $1150

 Tonight we head to Cajun Country, Delta Downs. They have a nice starter race carded as race #2. You can see past performances here.

1 – 16 – 08 — Delta Downs — Race 2 — Alw 5000

Another one of my favorite races to bet. Usually you get some good horses that are holding their form. This race pretty much fits that bill. On paper it looks to me like their are 4 serious contenders and a few fringe contenders. The #3 and #4 are the morning line favorite and 2nd choices at 2-1 and 3-1 respectively. #3 Billy Idel ships in from the Fairgrounds for Steve Asmussen after finishing a close 3rd against similiar if not tougher, including the much heralded Golden Hare whose record last year was very solid. He picks up the leading rider and obviously his contention goes deep. #4 Salamaat comes in off of a blow out win against 15k claimers. That was his 3rd off the rest and was his best effort of this form cycle. Fits solidly at this level. Both of these guys are hard knocking contenders at this level with no knocks other than price.

 All that being said, my Play of the Day is #5 Malcolm D Cat. Goes out for a trainer lacking a win and a jockey who I really don’t care for but one of the things I noticed quickly about this race is the apparent lack of pace. I suspect #10 will make the lead ( and may not stop for that matter ) and I think Malcolm D Cat has a bit more tactical speed than the other two and will get the jump on those rivals. He comes off a solid 2nd against open 12500 claimers at the Fair Grounds and should take a step forward while getting the best trip. At 8-1, he is a solid value selection to down the captain obvious horses.

Play of the day: $50 to win on #5 Malcolm D Cat.

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One Response to “Play of the day …”

  1. Phil J. Says:

    Race 2 l 5 Furlongs | 4 Year Olds And Up | Starter Allowance ($5,000 – )

    5 Malcolm D Cat St Julien M 120 8.20 3.80 3.60
    4 Salamaat Hernandez C J 123 2.80 3.20
    7 Gold Shoes Dupuis T J 117 3.20

    Play of the day stats

    Races played = 2

    Wins = 2 – 100%

    ITM Finishes = 2 – 100%

    Previous play investment = $50

    Previous play return = $205

    Starting Bankroll = $1000

    Bankroll as of previous play = $1150

    New Bankroll = $1305

    Two play of the day threads and two winners. Though this horse definitely wasn’t the value I thought he would be going off at 3-1. #10 was scratched, which probably hurt our price a bit since he would have taken some money. The #10 being scratched might have hurt our price, but it might have helped our chance since #5 Malcolm D Cat shot to the front and improved his position to win by 3 or 4 on the wire. The outcome was never really in doubt unless a severe bias in play.

    Be back later with Thursdays play.

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